Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 3.725084 4.299368 4.930388 5.674890 6.529031 7.478100 8.612521
2025-01-05 2.984611 3.749717 4.661180 5.825920 7.273918 9.014157 11.264232
2025-01-12 2.398641 3.245328 4.327585 5.809955 7.785573 10.326256 13.841114
2025-01-19 1.868578 2.702555 3.838187 5.493482 7.841005 11.047616 15.758532
2025-01-26 1.634324 2.509051 3.769370 5.711065 8.621034 12.814009 19.310208
2025-02-02 1.492961 2.419460 3.824397 6.100049 9.684511 15.103496 23.909380
2025-02-09 1.319932 2.249249 3.726841 6.233693 10.367958 16.900857 27.993002
2025-02-16 1.166510 2.083056 3.606014 6.303480 10.945613 18.587422 32.098971
2025-02-23 0.999892 1.866509 3.367843 6.137409 11.098916 19.587189 35.178142
2025-03-02 0.844082 1.643509 3.084371 5.846868 10.987339 20.107525 37.471956
2025-03-09 0.758277 1.535604 2.989218 5.877857 11.445905 21.663148 41.773820
2025-03-16 0.664069 1.396846 2.816732 5.737493 11.561636 22.600213 45.031556
2025-03-23 0.630604 1.377099 2.875160 6.063342 12.636266 25.496017 52.458266
2025-03-30 0.588707 1.333670 2.880803 6.284698 13.534366 28.163819 59.784269
2025-04-06 0.532668 1.251157 2.794510 6.302852 14.017347 30.063952 65.796236
2025-04-13 0.456004 1.110532 2.564676 5.979754 13.731801 30.350141 68.467374
2025-04-20 0.432194 1.088118 2.591140 6.228100 14.727694 33.457871 77.596418
2025-04-27 0.422494 1.097858 2.691571 6.658932 16.190059 37.748597 89.868004
2025-05-04 0.395068 1.059533 2.674190 6.808993 17.019079 40.720444 99.494671
2025-05-11 0.366163 1.012874 2.630132 6.887703 17.686756 43.397663 108.752856
2025-05-18 0.326706 0.932202 2.490541 6.708080 17.696205 44.526242 114.430397
2025-05-25 0.285470 0.839959 2.308174 6.391954 17.316843 44.664845 117.672117
2025-06-01 0.264659 0.801454 2.261131 6.426256 17.847370 47.108864 127.013816